WAR IN AFGHANISTAN

WAR IN AFGHANISTAN
THE TRAP

SUMMARY

The War in Afghanistan was launched in response to the 9/11 attacks. The purpose of the war was to capture bin Laden, destroy al Qaeda, and remove the Taliban regime. Considering the lack of results, the justification of the war has evolved to a mission of democratization and development that is going nowhere. The western forces face a growing insurgency and an endless war. Clearly, we have been lured into a trap.

We have not seen it because the motives of the 9/11 have never been seriously analyzed. After the departure of the soviet from Afghanistan, the Islamic powers thought that it was possible to defeat the remaining US superpower. Since the soviets were defeated in the afghan desert, they planned to attract the US in the same location. Therefore, they used the same proxy as against the soviet (al Qaeda and Taliban) to commit a serial of attacks culminating with the 9/11. They expected that the US would rush into the Afghan trap. We shall describe the rest of the story!

Time is coming to change our strategy regarding the war on terror . We have to target the Islamic powers and not their lures. Moreover, we have to eradicate their fifth column implemented in our countries.

1-WAR GOALS 2-JUSTIFICATION 3-NEW STRATEGY 4-CONCLUSION

1-INITIAL WAR GOALS

The initial purpose of the war in Afghanistan was to capture bin Laden, destroy al Qaeda, and remove the Taliban. In fact, we are chasing ghosts in the desert and we face a growing insurgency.

11-In chase of Bin Laden

Seven years after the beginning of the war, Osama bin Laden has still not be found. It is not surprising because he is just a mercenary and a perfect lure.

His well-known profile should have attracted the attention of analysts . Born in a wealthy family with close ties to the royal family and some US business circles, the young bin Laden traveled at large and spent a lot of time in the western nightclubs. When he engaged himself against the soviet in Afghanistan, many testimonies report that he was pro-American (1) . With the end of the soviet war, he proposed his services to the Saudi Arabia against Iraq! He was rebuffed and became angry against the Saudi royal family. As a result, he lost his Saudi citizenship and the bin Laden family took control of his share in the family business. Then, he found new masters among the Saudi and Pakistani secret services and he launched his “International Islamic Front for Jihad against Jews and Crusaders.” in June 1998. It was the beginning of al Qaeda followed by t he first acts of terrorism against the United States embassy and then against the USS Cole, one year before the 9/11 tragedy.

Clearly, this profile is not in accordance with a new “prophet of Islam”. It pictures bin Laden as an opportunist mercenary serving different masters. The fact to be rebuffed by the royal Saudi family may have led him to his new role (Just as Frankenstein turning against his masters). However, considering the tribal relations of the Saudi society, he has kept many protections and found easily new secret masters. He became the leader of the Islamic jihad but his sincerity could be questioned. Finally, he appears as a perfect lure.

As a result, many disturbing facts characterize the chase of Bin laden . We must underline that all the following stories are public and well known. Once they are grouped, they give a feeling of confusion and disinformation. For example, a former CIA official (Mr. Scheuer) said his agents provided the U.S. government with many opportunities to capture bin Laden and that all of them were rejected. One of the last proposals involved a missile attack against a camp in the Afghan desert, where bin Laden and some princes from the Emirates were hunting! Moreover, a ccording to French Medias, Bin Laden was at the American Hospital of Dubai in July 2001, two months before the 9/11. During the battle of Afghanistan, the Al-Qaeda fighters were located in the mountains of Tora Bora. However, the US only engaged a local militia, backed by air forces. Surprisingly, a truce allowed bin Laden to escape into the tribal areas of Pakistan. What is more, the CIA closed a unit specialized in the bin Laden track in 2006. Officials explained that the agency has better to focus on regional trends rather than on individuals!

Finally, bin Laden is periodically reported dead! In 2002, Musharraf believed bin Laden was dead. In 2006, a French newspaper reported that according to the French secret service, bin Laden had died in Pakistan. Unfortunately, on September 2007, the US authenticated a new video of bin Laden. Therefore, on November 2007,Benazir Bhutto claimed that bin Laden had been murdered by Omar Sheikh (the man who killed Pearl)! Look at the Benazir video:

Right now, Bin Laden is supposed to be in the Pakistan's tribal region (It is not a novelty: before the 9/11, many al Qaeda training camps were already across the border, in western Pakistan). Recently U.S. Special Forces entered into Pakistan to find Bin Laden. Pakistan strongly protested about its territory integrity and announced the disruption of supply lines to the allied forces stationed in Afghanistan!

Clearly, the chase of bin Laden is going to be farcical! This cranky hunting only demonstrates the large extend of complicities into the Saudi and Pakistani secret services and maybe into some western circles.

12-Remove and prevent the return of Taliban

The second purpose was to remove the Taliban and to prevent their return . Seven years later, the western forces are facing a strong return of the Taliban. Moreover, do we fight the same Taliban as those who supported al Qaeda? Indeed, the word Taliban may designate different realities.

During the soviet war, the Taliban were wealthy feudal warlords such as the Tajik Ahmed Shah Massoud, the Uzbek Abdul Dostum, and the pashtoun Gulbuddin Hikmatyar. They wanted to prevent the reforms initiated by the communist government (notably the land reform) and their insurgency began before the soviet invasion. The role of these freedom fighters played a key part in the Soviet defeat and we have not to be ashamed of our support (2). Clearly, it was necessary to fix the soviet in Afghanistan for preventing them to invade Europe. As said Brezinsky: ” What is most important for world history? The Taliban or the fall of the Soviet Empire? Some Islamic hotheads or the liberation of Central Europe and the end of the cold war? ”

Once the feudal warlords captured Kabul in 1992, they waged a fierce civil war. They completely destroyed the town and plunged the country into a dreadful anarchy. In reaction, the Taliban movement emerged. These new Taliban were not some warlords. They came from Islamic schools. In 1996, they took control of Kabul and claimed their intent to restore stability and enforce a strict interpretation of Islamic law. The western Medias depicted the Taliban as devils although their behavior did not differ from those of the Saudi. During this period, the Pakistan and Saudi Arabia supported the Taliban.

Despite the end of the cold war, President Clinton also supported the Taliban until 1998 and the first attacks of bin Laden. A Congressional report by the Republican Party published in 1997, accuses the Clinton administration of having turned Bosnia into a militant Islamic base thanks to the recruitment of many al Qaeda warriors. Look at the next picture..

Then this Bosnian framework was replicated in Kosovo and Macedonia with the support of the US and Islamic states.

Moreover, the connection between the Taliban and bin Laden has never been obvious. Indeed, bin Laden enjoyed a private relationship with Mullah Omar, chief of the Taliban. However during the US campaign, the Taliban offered to surrender bin Laden to a third country for trial, if the bombing halted. The President Bush rejected the offer and the US forces with the former warlords( northern alliance) easily destroyed the Taliban regime.

Unfortunately, a new wave of Taliban is now emerging . Many observers report that these new Taliban account for about 10,000 fighters. They only include about a thousand of former Taliban and, maybe, 100 to 300 Arab foreigners from al Qaeda. It means that the mainstream is composed of pashtoun, coming also from Pakistan. We have to underline that the Pashtoun form a nation without a state. During the British wars, the Durand line into Afghanistan and Pakistan divided the Pashtounistan (3). Now, the word “Taliban” designates a pashtoun insurgency, which could destabilize both Afghanistan and Pakistan. Today, the western forces are involved in a war opposing the pashtoun to the northern tribes. That has nothing to do with a war against terrorism.

1-WAR GOALS 2-JUSTIFICATION 3-NEW STRATEGY 4-CONCLUSION

2-NEW JUSTIFICATION

Considering the lack of results, the justification of the war has evolved to a mission of democratization and development that is going nowhere. The western forces face an endless war. Clearly, we have been lured into a trap.

21-Democratization and human rights

Islam plays a major role in Afghanistan. It is not a secular Islam. It is merely a feudal Islam like in Saudi Arabia or Yemen. Indeed, Islamism is prevalent and relies on the Sharia’a, which is the opposite of human rights, decency, and a civilized way of life. However, the West put the Democratization and the gender equality on the agenda to justify an endless war.

In the entire history of Afghanistan, only two attempts were made to introduce liberal reforms in the society. Firstly, King Amannullah (1919-1929), introduced several reforms to modernize Afghanistan. Some of them, such as the abolition of the burqah and the opening of schools, alienated the tribal and religious leaders. Confronted to a global insurgency, Amanullah was forced to abdicate in 1929. Secondly, in the 70s, the pro Marxist government imposed the separation of church and State and gave large rights to women. Moreover, it promoted education and planned a land reform . Unfortunately, just as the French revolution did, the government implemented these reforms through terror and mass repression. Quite immediately, the feudal warlords and the Muslim establishment began the resistance and we know the end of the story.

The third attempt is the present history: The West has implemented a new constitution, a parliament, and free elections and so on. However, the new constitution depends on the Sharia’a and recently an Afghan journalist was facing a death sentence for blasphemy. According to Human Rights NGO, the parliament is composed with a majority of warlords, no better than the previous Taliban. The authority of the president of Afghanistan is symbolic outside Kabul and the tribal warlords exercise the provincial power. Our politicians claim that 6 million boys and girls can follow schools and that health and social services are improving. Unfortunately, the women remain veiled just as they were under the Taliban power. Finally, all these speeches dedicated to democracy and gender equality look like windows dressing. Firstly, it is impossible to attain these goals in a country like Afghanistan. Secondly, our motives sound untrue because a military intervention cannot be based on human rights. Do we intend to attack Saudi Arabia, Pakistan or Yemen where women endure the same situation as under the rule of the Taliban?

22- Development

Regarding development, Afghanistan is already a narco-state. The former Taliban had eradicated opium. After 2001, with the change of regime, opium production increased and Afghanistan is producing today 90% of the world’s opium. Revenue from poppy cultivation is now larger than the international aid.

The second resource is grand corruption. The population does not benefit of the large international aid, which is trapped by the warlords, the drug traders, and the politicians of Kabul and a myriad of NGO.

The great hope relies on the building of a gas pipeline connecting the Caspian to the Indian Ocean through Afghanistan and Pakistan. Until 1998, the US oil company UNOCAL was negotiating with the Taliban for the building of the pipeline. In 1998, UNOCAL withdrew from the project, which is now re emerging. Afghanistan, Pakistan and Turkmenistan made a deal in 2002 and 2004 for the future building of a gas pipeline. Of course, considering the present insecurity, this project remains a dream. However, it boosts many leftists’ speculations about the motives of the war. Regarding the geopolitical balance, the western companies and Pakistan have interest to build such a pipe. Iran and Israel have their own pipe project. The Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States do not want to facilitate the export of Caspian resources because they want to keep their monopoly. Of course, they have interest to maintain the insecurity as long as possible. Finally, the oil mirage can only extend the war over the region.

23- An endless war

According to the new goals, the military forces were split into two components. The US enduring freedom is fighting al Qaeda. On the contrary, the NATO forces are supposed to be peacekeepers protecting the country and training a new afghan army.

Seven years later, the afghan army only accounts for 25,000 soldiers in a country that was able to enroll one million fighters against the soviet army! In the same time, the number of fights and suicide attacks has increased fourfold.

Despite thirty years of wars, droughts and famines, the population of Afghanistan ( 31,900,000 by mid 2007) is expected to grow to 50,300,000 by 2025 and 81,900,000 by 2050. As said Napoleon, a night in Afghanistan replaces the casualties of any long wars. Go to www.census.gov .

Moreover, the secret services of Pakistan and Saudi Arabia provide the Taliban with arms and money while the Pakistan is becoming the safe haven of the insurgency. Clearly, NATO is engaged in an endless war.

1-WAR GOALS 2-JUSTIFICATION 3-NEW STRATEGY 4-CONCLUSION

3-FOR A NEW GLOBAL STRATEGY

We have been lured into the trap because we have never seriously analyzed the true motives of the 9/11 . A real analysis is the prerequisite of any new strategy.

31-The motives of 9/11

The sponsors of the 9/11 have explained at large their motives on the Medias and inside the mosques . After the defeat of the soviet, the Islamic powers, who intend to extend Islam over the world, thought that it was possible to defeat the remaining US superpower. Since the soviets were defeated in the afghan desert, they planned to attract the US in the same location. Therefore, they used the same proxy as against the soviet (al Qaeda and Taliban) to commit a serial of attacks culminating with the 9/11. They expected that the US would rush into the Afghan trap. We have just described above the follow up of the story!

What are these Islamic powers? We have to remind that Saudi Arabia, Pakistan or the Gulf States are not real States. They are just composed with an aggregate of feudal tribes. Into this mosaic, the power belongs to the secret services that are not controlled by the official politic. These services depend on feudal lords and cleric devoted to a fanatic Islam and more precisely to the Wahabbism. Moreover, these uncontrolled secret service, companies and individuals benefit of the flow of money coming from their oil business. Therefore, in our opinion, these Islamic powers have organized the plot (4). Once the western countries trapped in Afghanistan, they can pursue their final objective: the islamization of Europe thanks to immigration from Muslim countries. The next drawing shows the mechanism of the trap.

Many European or US circles know the truth but they prefer ignore it for two reasons. Firstly, most of our rulers are addicted to oil. In such a context, any truth regarding Saudi Arabia or the Gulf States is carefully hidden. Our rulers do not want to hurt the leaders of the biggest oil reserves. On the other hand, the feudal Arab leaders have invested in Europe and the US. Thanks to grand corruption, they control many Medias, scholars, and politicians and so on. Secondly, our governments refuse to war the Islamism. Some hidden reasons explain this situation.

32-Reframing war on terror

Time is coming to change our strategy regarding the war on terror. We may indicate three global purposes: Manage the Afghan case; Target the real sponsors of the world terrorism (and not their lures); Eradicate the fifth column implemented in our countries.

- Manage the Afghan case

How could we get out of the trap? It is not a matter of changing the military strategy or sending more troops . On the other hand, it is not possible to withdraw because the entire Islamic mob would claim that they have defeated the US superpower (just like Russia). As a result, a withdraw would boost the Islamic fury everywhere and we should be confronted to new Afghanistan’s in Somalia, sub-Saharan Africa, and evenly in the suburbs of our great towns.

The best guess should be to maintain some military bases in the northern part of Afghanistan. Thanks to these bases, air force and Special Forces could immediately storm any resurgence of the terrorist infrastructure . Massive retaliations, with dead accounting by ten thousands, would dissuade the afghan to target our countries.

- Target the real sponsors of world terrorism

The real sponsors of the world terrorism are located in Pakistan, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States. Let us suppose that we endure a new strike like the 9/11 (maybe with biological weapons, nuclear devices and so on). It should be the opportunity to deliver an ultimatum to these countries asking them to dismantle all their secret services and allow western inspections into their countries. Let us suppose that they refuse. Well! It should be the opportunity to invade these countries, to remove their powers and to seize their oil fields. Such a war could last a matter of weeks (except Iran). It will end their oil blackmail and their sponsoring of terrorism. The next drawing shows the right strategy.

DRAWING 2

- Eradicate the fifth column implemented in our countries.

Some people may argue that such a move could boost the terrorism. In fact, our vulnerability to terrorism is only due to the presence of a fifth Islamic column on our ground. The terrorist cells are close to your home and not ten thousand miles overseas! Indeed, the war in Afghanistan has not prevented the strikes in London, Madrid, Algeria and recently in India. While the westerners are chasing ghosts in the desert, the terrorist cells proliferate in our countries. Moreover, the terrorists rely on active supporters or on people who indulge for them. Beside the terrorism, the low Intifada (the so-called "insecurity" attributed to “young people” in Europe) is in fact the second tool used by the Islamists. This plague more and more disturbs the civil peace inside many European countries.

The good question is: How long shall we tolerate these groups, which are plotting terrific strikes against our civilians? The solutions are easy: firstly, we should stop any immigration and tourism from Islamic countries. Secondly, we should expel all the groups indulging for terrorism and including the individuals who are born in our territory and who do have the citizenship.

1-WAR GOALS 2-JUSTIFICATION 3-NEW STRATEGY 4-CONCLUSION

4-CONCLUSION

These three objectives imply a united front of the Civilization against the Islamic barbarism. This great alliance should include the US, Europe, Russia, India and China. If we act altogether, the previous objectives should be easy to reach. Moreover, in each country, the civil war against the terrorism cannot only rely on the police. Firstly, we must deploy the army in our own towns. Secondly, we shall certainly need a civil and decentralized guard just like in Switzerland.

Clearly, western rulers must stop to pay lip service about the war on terror. We have enough speeches. We need acts.

Footnotes

1-Benazir Buthho and PrinceBandar bin Sultan of Saudi Arabia.

2- In the 80, with some American friends, I helped the Afghan resistance against the Soviet Union. I organized and chaired many meetings with Afghan freedom fighters. Sure, they belonged to the hard core Islam but they were profoundly pro Western. I never understood why these fellows suddenly turned their anger against the West.

3-Pashtunistan was divided by Sir Mortimer Durand in 1893.

4-Many facts back up this interpretation. Firstly, it is difficult to believe that a person in a cave in Afghanistan with a cell phone could organize such attacks. Secondly, since the plot involved many circles and not only a small gang in the desert, some people knew that something big was in preparation. It is established that the US administration, CIA and FBI received multiple warnings from foreign governments (For example, on December2007,Guillaume Dasquie, a French journalist claimed the French intelligence had warned the U.S. of a possible terrorist plot eight months before 9/11). Of course, the official 9/11 Commission Report, issued in 2004, stated that the government of Saudi Arabia did not take part in the attacks. Once again, it is not a matter of government and we may believe that the King ignored the plot. The problem regards the Saudi, Pakistani, and Iranian secret services. For example, the report indicated that several of the 9/11 hijackers passed through Iran, without entry stamps in their passports.